Tropical Storm Nicole deposited 10″ to 12″ of rain on the Florida Sea Base yesterday. The storm is essentially gone, but we are getting winds from the NNW at 15 to 20 knots. It’s not bad at all. Just enough to shake me awake and give me an opportunity to start working on this post at 12:45 in the morning. Here are the highlights from Dr. Jeff Masters’ Wednesday WunderBlog:
Elsewhere in the tropics
A tropical wave a few hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles Islands is generating a modest amount of disorganized heavy thunderstorms. The wave is under a moderate 10 – 20 knots of wind shear, and has some dry air to the northwest of it that is interfering with development. None of the models develop this disturbance, and NHC is giving it a 10% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Friday. The wave is headed into a region of higher wind shear, and is not likely to develop.
Another tropical wave located about 900 miles west-southwest of the Cape Verdes Islands is more of a threat. This wave is currently moving west at 15 – 20 mph, and is generating a large area of disorganized heavy thunderstorms. Wind shear is 10 – 20 knots over the wave, and shear is forecast to decline by late this week. The latest 2am EDT runs of the NOGAPS and GFS models show some slow development of the wave late this week, and the storm is forecast to pass near the northern Lesser Antilles Islands on Sunday or Monday. NHC is giving the wave a 10% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Friday.
Disturbed weather will continue in the Western Caribbean for at least the next ten days, and the NOGAPS and GFS models continue to predict that the region could spawn a tropical depression 6 – 7 days from now. However, the models are being less aggressive about such a development than in yesterday’s runs, and the models have not been consistent about the timing or location of such a storm.
At 07:30 the skies are clear and our temperature is 79 degrees. We aren’t expecting any more rain until Sunday. The wind is going to stay from the NW at 10 – 15 for the next several days. Hopefully it will be more northerly than westerly but either way it is tolerable.
Today should be busy in the office. My top priorities of the day include selling used scuba gear, ordering new scuba gear (especially 100+ scuba tanks), calling our Divers Alert Network rep about training for Capt. Rich and I, and calling our Aqua Lung rep about training for Laura and Christy and a large scuba equipment order.
Capt. Rich will be making final arrangements for the Coral Reef Sailing and Sea Exploring crews that are arriving Sunday. My understanding is Dominic Alesandrini will be assigned to the Sea Exploring crew and Laura Kuras will be assigned to the Coral Reef Sailing crew. That leaves Christy Clemenson pulling double duty and assisting with both crews. I am hoping to be one of the drivers on Monday for the Sea Exploring crew, transporting them by van from the Florida Sea Base to their vessel.
It’s time for me to make my long commute – less than 100 yards – to the office.
Aboard S/V Escape