Here is the latest from our friend Chip at the Key West offfice of the National Weather Service:

Tropical weather systems have been fairly quiet in our region so far this season, but that is not unusual.  A disturbance currently moving westward over the Caribbean just south of Cuba is slowly organizing.   However, the system will have little impact locally other than to steer more Cuban sea-breeze thunderstorms our way this afternoon through Wednesday morning.  An intensifying high pressure ridge north of the Keys will result in freshening east-southeast breezes during the next 24-36 hours, reaching a steady 15 to 20 knots (occasional gusts over 20 knots) by Wednesday evening, with moderate to fresh breezes persisting into the weekend.

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Best Regards,

Chip K.
Kennard “Chip” Kasper
Senior Forecaster-Marine Program Meteorologist NOAA/National Weather Service
1315 White Street
Key West, Florida 33040
Operations:  (305) 295-1316 ext. 241
Voice Mail:  (305) 295-1316 ext. 406
FAX:           (305) 296-2011

Today and tomorrow aren’t looking too pretty.  But we deal with these conditions frequently and will do everything possible to ensure the participants are safe and having a high adventure experience.  There will be THOUSANDS of disappointed vacationers who are here to slaughter lobsters.  I’m guessing alcohol sales will be up.

Tuesday was pretty quiet.  The weather was much better than forecasted, until about 1900 (7:00 pm).  Shortly before 1900 the front came through with rain and strong, gusty winds.  Invest 90L is now being given a 70% chance of becoming a tropical storm, probably later today.  Saturday the system was pronounced dead.  Now it may come ashore near Houston, Texas as a hurricane.  For those of us living in hurricane prone areas, the lack of forecast accuracy is maddening.

Click image to enlarge.

The NWS marine forecast calls for 15 – 20 knot winds from the east today through Saturday.  Reefed sails, very challenging scuba diving conditions and multiple cases of gastroenpukeulitis are likely.  HIGH ADVENTURE BABY!!!  Woo-Hoo!!!

Capt. Steve Willis
Aboard S/V Escape

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